Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a081fb8ea4131b847738d8573958a6c87005f3dc13fdf6a53efe69fd74e526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 2,850$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 29c | 967.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.77 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 48c | 279.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 244.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 50c | 226.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 225.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 182.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 133.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 62.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 53c | 62.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 53.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed Yes | 62c | 47.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 35c | 47.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 33.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 39c | 30.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 55c | 30.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 47c | 30.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 54c | 29.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed No | 55c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.