NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4947ec0aabfe2a008aa2e39a1a988eb43d786c50b93425375b1b2f81a189c441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 50c | 80,550$40,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,450.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 52c | 76,923$39,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,167.33 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 50c | 68,192$34,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,096.21 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 50c | 49,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 28,341$14,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,019.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 50c | 26,606$13,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,174.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans | 50c | 26,485$13,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.51 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Raptors | 49c | 25,340$12,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,923.47 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Raptors | 50c | 22,680$11,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,340 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Raptors | 50c | 20,012$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,006 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 19,040$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.38 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Raptors | 50c | 16,099$8,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.23 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 15,738$7,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 51c | 15,528$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 51c | 14,593$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.33 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 50c | 12,109$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Raptors | 52c | 12,025$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,771.98 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 50c | 12,000$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Raptors | 50c | 10,338$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.85 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Raptors | 50c | 9,936$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pelicans | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 50c | 8,366$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Raptors | 50c | 8,080$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans | 48c | 7,849$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.52 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Raptors | 50c | 7,644$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 49c | 7,459$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Pelicans | 51c | 7,323$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Raptors | 50c | 6,295$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 50c | 6,177$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,654$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 49c | 5,635$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.28 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Raptors | 50c | 5,629$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.28 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Raptors | 52c | 4,014$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,830$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.68 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,612$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.45 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Raptors | 51c | 3,486$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,980$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,749$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.17 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Raptors | 51c | 2,732$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.74 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,627$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,558$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.17 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Raptors | 51c | 2,416$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.74 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,327$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Raptors | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.92 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.84 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,916$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.06 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Raptors | 51c | 1,837$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.25 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,803$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Raptors | 52c | 1,635$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.05 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Raptors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,487$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 49c | 1,457$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.23 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,425$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.86 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Raptors | 53c | 1,135$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.01 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Raptors | 49c | 1,035$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Pelicans | 48c | 964.98$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.19 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Raptors | 50c | 862$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Pelicans | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 48c | 809$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 50c | 807.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.65 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 800$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…b6c2backed Raptors | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors | 50c | 783.05$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pelicans | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Pelicans | 46c | 614.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 54c | 599.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Raptors | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Pelicans | 48c | 564.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 52c | 531.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.81 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pelicans | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pelicans | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Pelicans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Raptors | 50c | 480.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 480.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Pelicans | 51c | 459.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Pelicans | 48c | 425$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Raptors | 51c | 404$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pelicans | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Raptors | 49c | 398$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Raptors | 50c | 379.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Raptors | 53c | 379.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Raptors | 49c | 379.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 378$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Raptors | 50c | 353.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Raptors | 51c | 348.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Pelicans vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.