NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaafb23471707387eea7d98e08a7415e318e8d644aa607fe78703bfad0abe99f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,871$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,283$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 54c | 559.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 52c | 556.2$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 47c | 363.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 300.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 17c | 291.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 32c | 288.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…086fbacked Over | 53c | 217.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…3cd7backed Over | 53c | 214.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe310…b5b8backed Over | 53c | 214.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…e09fbacked Under | 47c | 214$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…e067backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9a53backed Under | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 53c | 211.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…2256backed Over | 53c | 210.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…125fbacked Under | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…2e91backed Over | 53c | 202.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3c1fbacked Under | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1c…a2ecbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…ad23backed Under | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e97…499bbacked Over | 53c | 197.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…60e7backed Under | 47c | 197$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…507bbacked Over | 53c | 196.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f5…5d3cbacked Under | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…470ebacked Over | 53c | 194.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…96cbbacked Under | 47c | 192$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7051…02f0backed Over | 53c | 191.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a7…5b48backed Over | 53c | 188.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 173.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 17c | 169.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 149.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…2589backed Over | 51c | 118.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 33c | 118.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 115.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…2fd9backed Over | 51c | 99.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 17c | 99.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 17c | 85.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 53c | 84.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 77.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 76.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 74.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 57.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…eb7fbacked Over | 35c | 56.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 58c | 50.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 30c | 46.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 37.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 35.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 67c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 46c | 30.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 37c | 29.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 80c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 59c | 23.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 23.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…09f3backed Under | 49c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…7ccbbacked Under | 49c | 21.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…c2a1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…9d2dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Pelicans vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.