NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec1e95220332a7f39c9e27970f13f303d6a61caa8fa208962dc2879aa5c7ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans | 47c | 21,649$10,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,174.92 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 20,359$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 54c | 14,628$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,792.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 55c | 13,155$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.64 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…8eaebacked Raptors | 53c | 10,697$5,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pelicans | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,943$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Raptors | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 54c | 3,843$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 56c | 3,328$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.27 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,982$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Raptors | 52c | 2,975$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.85 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Raptors | 56c | 2,900$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.78 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 22c | 2,536$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,400$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 55c | 1,426$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Pelicans | 43c | 1,041$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.73 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Raptors | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Raptors | 55c | 888.51$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…eb61backed Pelicans | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans | 44c | 786.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 44c | 592.83$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Pelicans | 43c | 531$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 54c | 506.86$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 448.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.82 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Pelicans | 44c | 404$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Pelicans | 46c | 401.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors | 53c | 332$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Raptors | 54c | 327.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Raptors | 54c | 327$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Pelicans | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…86aabacked Raptors | 53c | 294.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Raptors | 53c | 256.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Raptors | 56c | 250.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Raptors | 53c | 249.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Raptors | 55c | 237$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 53c | 213.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Raptors | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Pelicans | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Pelicans | 46c | 206.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Raptors | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Raptors | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Raptors | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Pelicans | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Pelicans | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Raptors | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pelicans | 33c | 178.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Raptors | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Raptors | 56c | 161.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Raptors | 56c | 161$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Pelicans | 45c | 159.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pelicans | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 154$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 154$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pelicans | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Raptors | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors | 53c | 132.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 128.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Pelicans | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pelicans | 46c | 122.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Pelicans | 47c | 121.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Pelicans | 44c | 119.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans | 46c | 117.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 41c | 113.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…6e0fbacked Pelicans | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Pelicans | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Pelicans | 44c | 100.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…518abacked Pelicans | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Pelicans | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Pelicans | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Pelicans | 48c | 92.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Raptors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Raptors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans | 46c | 91.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Raptors | 53c | 90.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Raptors | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pelicans | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pelicans | 45c | 85.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Pelicans | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Pelicans | 45c | 82.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Raptors | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Raptors | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Raptors | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Raptors | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Pelicans | 46c | 65.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…3e81backed Raptors | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 62.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Pelicans vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.