TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c7,979$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Under49c5,024$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c4,903$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.3249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c2,614$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under49c2,501$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.615349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c2,495$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.828647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c1,983$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,974$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.6464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,845$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,583$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,206$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over47c1,134$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5222140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4410651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.217637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under78c999.99$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22017436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c974.02$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over2c820.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c806.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over33c606.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c541$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under75c533.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over51c459.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.599346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over52c451.92$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23522953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over50c399.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9117643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Under56c392.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c384.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c382$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over26c339.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under49c339$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c305.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c305$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15319435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c277.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over53c277.58$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.222665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under73c274.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.831151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over24c255.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.724044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under51c218.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c209.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c199.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c190.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c187$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Under78c170.24$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.515551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4524849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over52c121.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Under51c117.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.743729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over24c116$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c111.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over33c105.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over51c99.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.983732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under48c97.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5523651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over49c89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6115650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c72.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9138853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c71.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under57c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8720049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under55c62.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0414444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under52c61.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over52c57.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.822454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under78c57.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.589938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Over34c55.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.654235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under49c55.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under68c51.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under63c49.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4114931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under69c47.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9722…3e81backed Under49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0811538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c40.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over46c40.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.315356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under66c38.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0614157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c35.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c35.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.665759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over52c32.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8126043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.638048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under58c27.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5118242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7516647%78 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under49c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over52c24.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.