NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6703483f06ac0ed08cdaa358e78ccb15c76e8393595e4bf6d71610f2441fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,309$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 5,788$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 3,032$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 52c | 2,718$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.52 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,159$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 1,901$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.48 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.7 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 47c | 1,779$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.24 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,671$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 945.22$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 916.55$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.45 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 710.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 80c | 690.19$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 659.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 622.39$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 54c | 578.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 389$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 345.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 323.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 317.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 215.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 168.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 47c | 86.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 72.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Under | 52c | 65.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 63c | 43.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 40.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 38.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 48c | 37.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 33.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 49c | 30.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 53c | 26.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…12b4backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Pelicans vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.