NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d5f736f86c46c4a7334f90393e234dda8b5c001ff76a4291d4513d170cb7d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 65c | 4,357$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Raptors | 48c | 2,892$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Pelicans | 55c | 2,744$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,287$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.44 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pelicans | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 45c | 1,634$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.81 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Raptors | 46c | 1,246$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.53 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 47c | 1,119$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Pelicans | 53c | 983.95$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 51c | 977.27$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 61c | 840.13$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Raptors | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Raptors | 46c | 605$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 46c | 398.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 47c | 396.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 46c | 328.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Raptors | 47c | 297.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans | 54c | 292.69$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Raptors | 46c | 289.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 46c | 262.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 62c | 255.18$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Raptors | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 61c | 227.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Pelicans | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pelicans | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 66c | 146.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 45c | 146.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Raptors | 46c | 143$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Pelicans | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Pelicans | 54c | 129.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans | 30c | 125.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 47c | 116.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Raptors | 46c | 116.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Raptors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pelicans | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Pelicans | 38c | 102.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Pelicans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Pelicans | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pelicans | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…6e0fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Pelicans | 56c | 92.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Pelicans | 53c | 84.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 83.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Raptors | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Raptors | 46c | 59.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Pelicans | 53c | 56.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Pelicans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pelicans | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Pelicans | 54c | 50.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 48.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…2871backed Pelicans | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 71c | 46.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Pelicans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Raptors | 66c | 44.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…6c57backed Raptors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Pelicans | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans | 54c | 40.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Pelicans | 54c | 37.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Raptors | 65c | 35.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Pelicans | 31c | 35.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raptors | 63c | 33.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Pelicans | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…1f6ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 28.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Pelicans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…eae2backed Pelicans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Raptors | 47c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 39c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked Raptors | 49c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14d…971ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Raptors | 72c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Raptors | 64c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Raptors | 72c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Pelicans vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.