Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd37054e27a2902d58c67109651253c6a938d18b73087e51f5eb9023b52806c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, DOGSENT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 4,865$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed DOGSENT | 25c | 2,588$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 1,227$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.35 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked DOGSENT | 65c | 1,097$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 1,090$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.9 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 985.38$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed DOGSENT | 40c | 908.87$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed DOGSENT | 38c | 823$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed DOGSENT | 51c | 739.32$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked DOGSENT | 40c | 731.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…2ee1backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 594.12$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 589.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 707 | 52.5%371 W · 336 L | +48.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 588.89$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 506.1$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 575 | 55.3%318 W · 257 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed DOGSENT | 46c | 436.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked DOGSENT | 14c | 421.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DOGSENT | 9c | 416.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…cf3abacked DOGSENT | 37c | 386.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked DOGSENT | 37c | 367.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DOGSENT | 37c | 323.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 292.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 263.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked DOGSENT | 37c | 258.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DOGSENT | 41c | 238.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 229.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…ed14backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 229$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed DOGSENT | 45c | 220.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed DOGSENT | 39c | 216$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…1a2ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 212$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DOGSENT | 51c | 209.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed DOGSENT | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 972 | 42.8%416 W · 556 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked DOGSENT | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed DOGSENT | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…18c5backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 196$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 192.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed DOGSENT | 68c | 184.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DOGSENT | 41c | 165.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed DOGSENT | 57c | 151.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 148.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…5ee2backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…b1ecbacked DOGSENT | 63c | 142$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 140.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked DOGSENT | 16c | 135$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…ac09backed DOGSENT | 63c | 134$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…c82fbacked DOGSENT | 65c | 132$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…33e0backed DOGSENT | 65c | 127.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…8852backed DOGSENT | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…3a54backed DOGSENT | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed DOGSENT | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…94dbbacked DOGSENT | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed DOGSENT | 67c | 118.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 114.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…74c4backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 102.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DOGSENT | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…6c5dbacked DOGSENT | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked DOGSENT | 35c | 88.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 87.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 83.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 914 | 56.1%513 W · 401 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 81.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…5418backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked DOGSENT | 38c | 78.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 77.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed DOGSENT | 64c | 76.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DOGSENT | 26c | 76.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 72.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed DOGSENT | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 67.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DOGSENT | 27c | 60.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DOGSENT | 41c | 57.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed DOGSENT | 45c | 53.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 344 | 45.6%157 W · 187 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 50.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed DOGSENT | 45c | 50.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked DOGSENT | 35c | 47.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 41.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…af15backed DOGSENT | 56c | 41.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…022fbacked DOGSENT | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…c2a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked DOGSENT | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed DOGSENT | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4ecdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 35.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 34.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 34.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked DOGSENT | 41c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed DOGSENT | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed DOGSENT | 68c | 31.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8065backed DOGSENT | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed DOGSENT | 55c | 28.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked DOGSENT | 50c | 26.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 24.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…e1d1backed DOGSENT | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT - Game 1 WinnerDOGSENT won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.