Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39456f8f5726ce6e5cde704d73a736433b9819b71e031f44a1487f1f22275fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Level UP, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1c0…de68backed Level UP | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,414$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.82 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 1,222$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.36 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Level UP | 60c | 1,065$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.13 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 971.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 54c | 850.25$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Level UP | 57c | 765.98$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.3 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 582.34$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…16c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 545.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Level UP | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 522.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Level UP | 77c | 511.14$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Level UP | 53c | 477.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Level UP | 55c | 408.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 407.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Level UP | 47c | 406.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Level UP | 64c | 228.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 163.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 137.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 130.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 126.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Level UP | 44c | 114.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Level UP | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Level UP | 27c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 91.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Level UP | 59c | 85.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Level UP | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 81.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 79.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 77.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…ca8bbacked Level UP | 20c | 76.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Level UP | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 42c | 66.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Level UP | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 54.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Level UP | 56c | 49.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Level UP | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Level UP | 58c | 43.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 43.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 43.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Level UP | 68c | 39.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 35.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Level UP | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Level UP | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Level UP | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 17.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.