Tennis · resolved market
ITF Savitaipale: Natalia Klys vs Naoko Eto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27609fef47df5d7703d167f8845ab840bab0c5af33dcaf140a8579fb1f51a097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naoko Etoof Natalia Klys, Naoko Eto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x056c…a69abacked Natalia Klys | 63c | 3,093$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Naoko Eto | 24c | 1,813$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.57 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Naoko Eto | 38c | 1,695$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Natalia Klys | 80c | 959.32$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.55 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natalia Klys | 74c | 699.53$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Naoko Eto | 43c | 600$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Naoko Eto | 37c | 551.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Natalia Klys | 78c | 367.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Natalia Klys | 57c | 359$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Natalia Klys | 62c | 274$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Naoko Eto | 52c | 237$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Naoko Eto | 30c | 219$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Naoko Eto | 30c | 217.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Natalia Klys | 57c | 203.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Naoko Eto | 30c | 185$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Naoko Eto | 31c | 175.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Natalia Klys | 69c | 175.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Naoko Eto | 24c | 174.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Natalia Klys | 60c | 165.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Naoko Eto | 39c | 164.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Natalia Klys | 78c | 154$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Naoko Eto | 19c | 132.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Naoko Eto | 73c | 126.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Naoko Eto | 38c | 123.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Natalia Klys | 67c | 119.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Natalia Klys | 70c | 103.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Natalia Klys | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Naoko Eto | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Naoko Eto | 36c | 71.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Naoko Eto | 33c | 66.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Naoko Eto | 39c | 64.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Naoko Eto | 38c | 61.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Naoko Eto | 19c | 59.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Naoko Eto | 33c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Naoko Eto | 33c | 43.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Naoko Eto | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Natalia Klys | 75c | 37.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Naoko Eto | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Natalia Klys | 66c | 30.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Natalia Klys | 64c | 26.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Natalia Klys | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Naoko Eto | 41c | 24.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Natalia Klys | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Natalia Klys | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…bb09backed Natalia Klys | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.