CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b57d088fe181e883853b1451c3f50f89949a19f5e093fbfeb629ef3659ae999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x056c…a69abacked MAGICOS | 29c | 5,172$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MAGICOS | 16c | 2,370$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.91 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MAGICOS | 17c | 1,556$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed largadosypelados | 67c | 1,212$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MAGICOS | 17c | 1,146$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MAGICOS | 13c | 1,077$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed largadosypelados | 67c | 1,037$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed MAGICOS | 37c | 748.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed largadosypelados | 68c | 688.85$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MAGICOS | 15c | 570.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed largadosypelados | 62c | 510$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MAGICOS | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MAGICOS | 17c | 487.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed MAGICOS | 17c | 460$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed largadosypelados | 67c | 418.51$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked largadosypelados | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MAGICOS | 26c | 342.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…082bbacked largadosypelados | 68c | 294.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MAGICOS | 21c | 256.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed largadosypelados | 80c | 218$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked MAGICOS | 20c | 211$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MAGICOS | 15c | 205.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed MAGICOS | 8c | 177.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed largadosypelados | 67c | 159.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MAGICOS | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed largadosypelados | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed MAGICOS | 17c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MAGICOS | 12c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 108.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed MAGICOS | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…f885backed MAGICOS | 17c | 98.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed largadosypelados | 69c | 92.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MAGICOS | 18c | 76.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked largadosypelados | 64c | 75.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MAGICOS | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGICOS | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked MAGICOS | 31c | 64.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed largadosypelados | 66c | 44.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked largadosypelados | 67c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked largadosypelados | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed largadosypelados | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked largadosypelados | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.