CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf9dd1066099707c72eecdd8127b3d0d56590c2b767b8da44c3473ba4527d79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 12,065$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.8 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados | 69c | 11,144$7,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked largadosypelados | 68c | 2,060$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.2 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked MAGICOS | 23c | 1,614$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed largadosypelados | 71c | 1,334$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.73 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MAGICOS | 29c | 1,312$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MAGICOS | 19c | 1,016$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 974.48$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed largadosypelados | 71c | 857.14$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed largadosypelados | 69c | 707$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked MAGICOS | 38c | 666.44$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked largadosypelados | 78c | 609.65$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MAGICOS | 15c | 602.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked largadosypelados | 69c | 568.15$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MAGICOS | 14c | 476.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MAGICOS | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed MAGICOS | 29c | 361.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked largadosypelados | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MAGICOS | 32c | 319.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed largadosypelados | 68c | 312.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 297.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed MAGICOS | 30c | 285.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked MAGICOS | 16c | 282.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MAGICOS | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed largadosypelados | 66c | 238.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed largadosypelados | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked largadosypelados | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 188.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed MAGICOS | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed largadosypelados | 72c | 174$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed MAGICOS | 39c | 154.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed MAGICOS | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked MAGICOS | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS | 32c | 135.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked largadosypelados | 69c | 130.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed MAGICOS | 18c | 101.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed largadosypelados | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed MAGICOS | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MAGICOS | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MAGICOS | 15c | 75.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed largadosypelados | 31c | 73.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed largadosypelados | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked largadosypelados | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed largadosypelados | 30c | 40.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked largadosypelados | 63c | 34.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked largadosypelados | 66c | 33.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed largadosypelados | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked largadosypelados | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed largadosypelados | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.