TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, MAGICOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d08…5d9fbacked MAGICOS15c524.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6120248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed MAGICOS25c386.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.873545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked MAGICOS13c369.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed MAGICOS16c363.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3921351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed MAGICOS12c328.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4251348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed MAGICOS13c320$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.625634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked MAGICOS14c241.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7738844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed MAGICOS13c238.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked MAGICOS21c216.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1419252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…f885backed MAGICOS18c193.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.623438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked MAGICOS13c172.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.454030%12 W · 28 L-7.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked MAGICOS25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked MAGICOS25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked MAGICOS13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed MAGICOS14c99.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9777351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MAGICOS15c92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7649536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS13c87.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MAGICOS13c81.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked largadosypelados73c71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.372,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked largadosypelados73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5be…bc54backed MAGICOS30c35.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.534325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.