Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rio Claro: Maria Herazo vs Ana Filipa Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb33ae58b80ccd23a3672463ec3683bff5c47e514114cedfb3d94b0859091b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Herazoof Maria Herazo, Ana Filipa Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ana Filipa Santos | 14c | 2,264$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked Maria Herazo | 49c | 1,400$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Herazo | 63c | 1,323$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ana Filipa Santos | 8c | 1,311$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 40c | 534.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Ana Filipa Santos | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Herazo | 42c | 314.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Ana Filipa Santos | 43c | 128.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maria Herazo | 39c | 108.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Ana Filipa Santos | 14c | 106.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Maria Herazo | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Maria Herazo | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maria Herazo | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Maria Herazo | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Maria Herazo | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 54c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Maria Herazo | 41c | 39.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Maria Herazo | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Maria Herazo | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maria Herazo | 44c | 25.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Filipa Santos | 53c | 24.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Herazo | 46c | 22.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Maria Herazo | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Maria Herazo | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.