Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa1096528a39ec596969c9719a1a13a07eb13ca8b5aab1e0792def30e3664ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 0c | 16,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked Yes | 1c | 11,379$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 11,096$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 1c | 10,468$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d3…b12fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…0944backed Yes | 0c | 6,356$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 4,702$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 5c | 3,877$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Yes | 9c | 3,241$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 2c | 2,714$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…e020backed Yes | 6c | 1,698$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,409$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…7737backed Yes | 1c | 1,163$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +724.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 3c | 1,050$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21b…b449backed Yes | 6c | 857.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 5c | 700$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 4c | 521.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 3c | 419.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…57a5backed Yes | 4c | 332.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 301.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 4c | 301.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…7aa7backed Yes | 6c | 201.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.