Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727dd6d701bc6e16474f9df11061e49e4a499a38a9907fa7cd9443cec479e1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 9,148$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.69 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,698$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 28c | 2,999$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 799.82$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.9 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 47c | 751.81$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 744.12$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 688.89$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 648.21$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.16 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 36c | 528.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Under | 71c | 504.93$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Over | 63c | 481.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 404$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 373$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 304.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 38c | 302.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 57c | 153.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 142.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 54c | 110.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 101.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 71.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 59.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 53c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 54.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…5643backed Under | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 43c | 39.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 56c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…1b40backed Over | 47c | 32.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Under | 46c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…d49cbacked Under | 56c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…9578backed Under | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 51c | 23.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.