Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3865af12f675a2ad6ac990a310443bbb30976fb25f7b44d0c0b882027e48a2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,001 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 6,436$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.36 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 5,117$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,376$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 1,106$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.07 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 41c | 1,090$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 41c | 780.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.14 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 45c | 747.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 43c | 691.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 496.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 246$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Under | 29c | 153.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 60c | 143$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 128.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 115.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 72c | 112.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 109.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 97.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 74.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 70.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 30c | 65.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 63.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 46c | 57.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 57c | 45.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 42.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 30c | 36.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 30c | 34.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Under | 61c | 26.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 70c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 66c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.