Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9ad45b3426ec612a87edc08e60a5a72dab7d870806e3119677e9cf20ef4f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RKS Raków Częstochowaof ACF Fiorentina, RKS Raków Częstochowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 79c | 2,207$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed ACF Fiorentina | 19c | 1,249$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed ACF Fiorentina | 26c | 597.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed ACF Fiorentina | 19c | 475.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 75c | 377.33$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 75c | 260.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed ACF Fiorentina | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked ACF Fiorentina | 20c | 163.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed ACF Fiorentina | 19c | 123.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RKS Raków Częstochowa | 70c | 103.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked ACF Fiorentina | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed ACF Fiorentina | 18c | 102.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ACF Fiorentina | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked ACF Fiorentina | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RKS Raków Częstochowa | 72c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.