Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015e0c74f184ef621286827dcc24085ba6d8c711a6841b7eebb19bb533b2e790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee10…2c44backed No | 50c | 5,367$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed No | 50c | 5,156$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed Yes | 50c | 4,828$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c8…dd17backed Yes | 50c | 3,599$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,559$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 828.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 23c | 576.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 45c | 327.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 35c | 219.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 217.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 145.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc150…73d0backed Yes | 50c | 114.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 92.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 39.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 35.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked No | 53c | 23.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.