Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fcc6caa9b3288941b3d615280197e5b6210a325c9ea6387632f22dc0a55154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 48c | 11,071$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.55 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 7,861$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.27 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 7,844$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.6 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 5,921$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.31 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 49c | 5,091$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.53 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 3,251$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.58 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 51c | 3,061$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.78 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,879$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 48c | 1,983$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.61 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,266$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 47c | 1,219$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.3 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 1,219$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.06 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 49c | 1,059$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.63 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…7fbfbacked Over | 46c | 627.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 531.78$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Over | 50c | 396.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 51c | 307.29$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 218.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 212.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 54c | 193.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 191.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 52c | 182.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 175.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 51c | 152.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 142.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 55c | 113.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 112.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 109.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 88.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 50c | 70.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b2…8dc5backed Under | 52c | 52.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 51c | 52.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…b93bbacked Under | 52c | 46.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 49c | 44.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 42.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 51c | 35.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Over | 51c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 30.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…af5bbacked Under | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Over | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Over | 51c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.