Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdd5842f77354d84a4c04e1d86475fc1ea65e96e18cb670e626b171c482680e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 9,531$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.06 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 3,945$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 1,571$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…8f3abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 57c | 1,554$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0023…3073backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 57c | 1,091$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…1dd7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 54c | 329.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 326.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 324.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 302.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 224.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 55c | 199.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 57c | 96.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 94.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 79.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 76.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 43c | 60.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 43c | 52.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 59c | 35.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 57c | 28.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 60c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.