Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94533b7dbe17239b42437292c2f3be33502793fcb3fd607ff6f4010d34e659f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 2,932$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.88 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 2,466$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.6 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 1,952$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 1,597$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 702$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 491.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 404.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 400.49$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 322.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…0b37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 208$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 55c | 198.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 186.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 160.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 141.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 98.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 95.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 69.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 38.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 38.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 23.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.