Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83556752efb070fd4c9cf21d814f9767c7c44ea1ab86d135ca93f3d0c37ac9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof Providence Friars, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Providence Friars | 0c | 14,999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 9c | 3,278$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Providence Friars | 14c | 3,095$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.34 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Providence Friars | 8c | 2,978$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 15c | 2,169$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Providence Friars | 14c | 2,100$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Providence Friars | 13c | 1,981$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Providence Friars | 15c | 1,909$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars | 14c | 1,735$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Providence Friars | 16c | 1,156$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Providence Friars | 15c | 996.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Providence Friars | 14c | 689.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Providence Friars | 15c | 597.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Providence Friars | 15c | 590.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Providence Friars | 15c | 536.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Providence Friars | 14c | 453.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Providence Friars | 13c | 435.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Providence Friars | 16c | 366.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Providence Friars | 10c | 362.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Providence Friars | 16c | 331.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Providence Friars | 14c | 299.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Providence Friars | 16c | 270.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Providence Friars | 16c | 269.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…0759backed Providence Friars | 13c | 266.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Providence Friars | 16c | 251.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked Providence Friars | 7c | 212.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Providence Friars | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Providence Friars | 14c | 199.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Providence Friars | 17c | 193.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…99c0backed Providence Friars | 18c | 138.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Providence Friars | 18c | 135.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Providence Friars | 15c | 133.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Providence Friars | 13c | 124.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Providence Friars | 10c | 109.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Providence Friars | 15c | 104.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Providence Friars | 17c | 103.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Providence Friars | 16c | 100.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Providence Friars | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Providence Friars | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Providence Friars | 14c | 89.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Providence Friars | 17c | 87.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Providence Friars | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Providence Friars | 15c | 71.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed Providence Friars | 16c | 68.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Providence Friars | 15c | 67.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Providence Friars | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Providence Friars | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.