Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf277ddffea0ad91d95e2bbfe1fdfccd8c089b56edcdeaa30fd621286411d6b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,702 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Providence Friars | 52c | 3,965$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.83 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.06 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 1,477$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 312.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Providence Friars | 49c | 265.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars | 48c | 215.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Providence Friars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Providence Friars | 43c | 195.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 98.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Providence Friars | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 48.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Providence Friars | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Providence Friars | 48c | 40.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)this page
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 158.5Under won
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.