Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs James Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2578d4d8a4f16dde7559865aa216d1a87012084601771b25c72c7bc126cd36e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuno Borgesof Nuno Borges, James Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,129 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed James Duckworth | 19c | 14,098$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuno Borges | 76c | 5,961$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed James Duckworth | 32c | 2,556$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.67 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuno Borges | 76c | 1,922$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Nuno Borges | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nuno Borges | 44c | 1,475$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.16 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked James Duckworth | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed James Duckworth | 60c | 1,007$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked James Duckworth | 27c | 782.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed James Duckworth | 56c | 613$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Duckworth | 33c | 552.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed James Duckworth | 25c | 513.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Nuno Borges | 73c | 504.11$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nuno Borges | 41c | 446$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.14 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Duckworth | 56c | 443.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nuno Borges | 70c | 403.25$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nuno Borges | 43c | 367.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed James Duckworth | 55c | 319.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked James Duckworth | 25c | 273.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuno Borges | 39c | 273.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…d5ccbacked Nuno Borges | 73c | 273.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Duckworth | 10c | 269.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed James Duckworth | 35c | 254.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed James Duckworth | 28c | 220.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed James Duckworth | 29c | 208.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed James Duckworth | 28c | 207.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked James Duckworth | 55c | 203$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked James Duckworth | 58c | 202.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked James Duckworth | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked James Duckworth | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked James Duckworth | 53c | 187.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuno Borges | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Nuno Borges | 42c | 165.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nuno Borges | 38c | 132.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nuno Borges | 72c | 118.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Nuno Borges | 70c | 114.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…a9cebacked James Duckworth | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Nuno Borges | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Nuno Borges | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Nuno Borges | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked James Duckworth | 49c | 99.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed James Duckworth | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked James Duckworth | 58c | 93.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Nuno Borges | 45c | 91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed James Duckworth | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked James Duckworth | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Nuno Borges | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked James Duckworth | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked James Duckworth | 51c | 65.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed James Duckworth | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked James Duckworth | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked James Duckworth | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Nuno Borges | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed James Duckworth | 57c | 49.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed James Duckworth | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked James Duckworth | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed James Duckworth | 27c | 38.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Nuno Borges | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Nuno Borges | 74c | 34.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7cbfbacked James Duckworth | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Nuno Borges | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed James Duckworth | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Nuno Borges | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Nuno Borges | 71c | 29.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Nuno Borges | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Nuno Borges | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Nuno Borges | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked James Duckworth | 62c | 26.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Nuno Borges | 72c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Nuno Borges | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Nuno Borges | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs James Duckworththis page
- Borges vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Borges vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. James Duckworth: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs DuckworthDuckworth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.