TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$892,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,651 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under57c375,888$213,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,106.14850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over45c300,000$134,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,999.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over43c92,915$39,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,953.2510360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c87,132$38,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,028.438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under56c74,355$41,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,715.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c26,145$14,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,741.473,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under53c21,499$11,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,104.533450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over44c15,487$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,814.2815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb98…0d41backed Under54c13,012$6,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,044.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c12,507$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.572,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under56c11,742$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,166.422560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over44c11,250$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under54c10,185$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c8,572$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c7,999$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.833145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c7,035$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.873461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c6,718$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.513839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over44c5,936$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.825448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c5,863$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.6113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c5,217$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.4243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over44c4,400$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c4,113$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.6591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over39c4,000$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+85.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over44c4,000$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7586858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under53c3,982$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.652050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.581650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under57c3,512$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.281650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c2,700$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26933349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under56c1,766$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.243557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over42c1,639$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c872.34$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c847.44$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Under60c830.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over44c710.65$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.913828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over46c675.8$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over47c619.15$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over39c536.3$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.31225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under57c439.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Over47c412.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18811153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over47c341.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c317.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14323949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under53c292.77$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.610254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over44c273.95$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.541540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over44c273.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over46c271.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over37c244.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over44c242.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.94339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over44c227.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c225.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under56c222$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.682737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c215.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1217956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.362552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under57c175.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc018…c37abacked Over32c174.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under54c172.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.94663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over28c169.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Over30c142.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c142.49$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6116543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over44c142.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.914963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under57c140.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c137.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.521,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…7eacbacked Over40c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under59c116.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.921973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over44c113.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over51c110.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.677842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Over43c109.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.053616.7%6 W · 30 L-9.3wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over46c109$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…67d0backed Over45c108.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over48c107.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.592650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over47c106.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Over43c105.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.683655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed Over24c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.93946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under57c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Over45c96.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.61681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over47c94.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.34235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under53c94.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.