Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d08f51e1ed0abef20ef039492c57785a56f80c6aad6fdb7775dda8e901650fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof SC Braga, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed SC Braga | 19c | 2,580$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked SC Braga | 19c | 1,763$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed SC Braga | 10c | 1,211$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ferencvárosi TC | 79c | 529.78$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed SC Braga | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed SC Braga | 14c | 180.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed SC Braga | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed SC Braga | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed SC Braga | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.