Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa276da2f9f8bb9151ec8b43ce2c704da5cc290569c3cc7270c991d5fba88ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Adolfo Vallejo, Felipe Meligeni Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,830 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 6c | 8,578$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 8c | 3,022$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 2,205$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 63c | 1,746$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 9c | 1,502$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 17c | 1,286$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 24c | 1,282$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.07 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 758.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 19c | 664.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 18c | 628.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 64c | 388$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 32c | 323.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 28c | 321$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 319$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 315.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 64c | 268$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 246.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 242.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…6e6ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 39c | 201.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 13c | 199.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 59c | 187.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 183.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 41c | 136.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 131.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 23c | 126.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 108.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…17ffbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 99.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 40c | 97.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 29.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Adolfo Vallejo | 63c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Adolfo Vallejo | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesthis page
- Adolfo Vallejo vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.