Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58632505bdb487cebaedcc8a90a84c9fd28fb97d2219f6140692d3f5d55e52f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 48c | 5,967$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,712$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 3,157$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 1,693$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 1,527$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,354$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.36 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 751.07$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.98 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 715.15$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 676.89$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 552.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Yes | 61c | 314$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 238.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 26c | 181.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 119$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 106.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 54c | 79.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 64.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 50c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7cbfbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 47.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 41c | 45.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 48c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 77c | 26.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes | 65c | 20.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.