Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20eb90a7300848e22f2f2320a215acf872b186a4c53ce3a838810e0e484d611e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,374$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.24 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 48c | 2,365$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.59 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 50c | 559.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…ff79backed Over | 48c | 494.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…7f55backed Under | 52c | 483$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…6816backed Over | 48c | 480.31$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…f5c0backed Under | 52c | 457$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed6…9ba1backed Under | 52c | 453$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…0ee8backed Under | 52c | 447$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d28…9dc1backed Over | 48c | 441.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…527fbacked Over | 48c | 416.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…d74bbacked Over | 48c | 415.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…3978backed Under | 52c | 414$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…ac13backed Over | 48c | 403.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…b63ebacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 47c | 379.46$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…1e59backed Under | 52c | 361$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…05acbacked Over | 48c | 357.26$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…06d2backed Under | 52c | 353$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b5e8backed Over | 48c | 352.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…6be0backed Under | 52c | 349$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…a848backed Over | 48c | 344.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…7d87backed Under | 52c | 344$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 328.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…22f6backed Under | 52c | 326$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3386…b7adbacked Under | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fa20backed Over | 48c | 311.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…eb07backed Under | 52c | 301$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…16bfbacked Under | 52c | 301$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 246$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448c…bcdebacked Over | 48c | 221$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…a3e3backed Under | 52c | 203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…f039backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…92b2backed Under | 52c | 191$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…5d15backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…bf81backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…e7cdbacked Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…9d48backed Over | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…8abfbacked Over | 48c | 161$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 159.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…e7a2backed Over | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 50c | 146.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Under | 50c | 144.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Under | 50c | 135.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Under | 50c | 134.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 131.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…1393backed Over | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…a8d1backed Over | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 100.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 54c | 70.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 55c | 46.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…346ebacked Over | 50c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Under | 43c | 31.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…7844backed Under | 51c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a3dcbacked Under | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…ac18backed Over | 50c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…3acabacked Over | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.