Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6efb0066ab81a83743f4cb8762075daef962faa1dcec67d94db1fd30e5bba707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1100…9242backed Over | 26c | 413$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…1477backed Over | 26c | 379$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…67b3backed Over | 26c | 337$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…c3b3backed Under | 74c | 232$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…963abacked Under | 74c | 218$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…7266backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…d097backed Under | 74c | 192$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…594fbacked Under | 74c | 178$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…b547backed Under | 74c | 170$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…9362backed Under | 74c | 154$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…19dbbacked Under | 74c | 147$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 107.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 28c | 102$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 19c | 96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…853bbacked Over | 26c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…178dbacked Over | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f9…54febacked Over | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…e287backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…3d98backed Over | 26c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…0423backed Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 28c | 43.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.