Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84ff54ab8a1895f928ac2bdd4d97cbeda9408bbc17452f88d705c9133dfac75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,414$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.84 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 44c | 690.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.19 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 592.94$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 57c | 418.86$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 26c | 359.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 56c | 356.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 74c | 291.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 275.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 245.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 203.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 49c | 202.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 57c | 154.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 146.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 121.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 44c | 91.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 91.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 59c | 79.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 74c | 57.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over | 76c | 28.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 57c | 25.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.