TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,442 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c22,923$12,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,866.473,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over31c7,699$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.682733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,997$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.732,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over49c3,928$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over48c2,995$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over79c2,600$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.575653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over79c2,499$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.571040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c1,994$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.4791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over25c1,900$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c1,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.61478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x638f…d9afbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over35c999.57$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.851040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Over48c996.98$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under49c992.39$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over76c800$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.011668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over35c714.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over47c637.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over48c590$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.22055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over47c470$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.82536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under30c450$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under19c406.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.663522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Over80c383.14$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under20c382.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cfb…1dd3backed Over49c238.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over66c225.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under22c215.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4317249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over47c211.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c207.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c165$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Over31c164.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Over39c162.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Over32c145$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under39c133.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7511643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c130.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9714641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over51c126.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20f…fcaabacked Over78c125.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.853857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over27c119.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.63627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under49c118$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6714963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c115.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over78c108.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.454242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c107.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7317956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over48c104.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over60c102.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over70c101.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7113337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under63c97.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7048…13d5backed Over54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c91.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.838453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c84.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over33c80.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.797842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over79c80$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over50c76.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under21c59.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.969048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over22c58.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.794425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over33c58.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over18c56.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-82%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under22c54.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.64663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over38c52.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7117835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over20c51.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.92259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…4622backed Over62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Under29c46.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over78c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over45c44.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf94b…0639backed Over79c42.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5530%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over48c40.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Over80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under78c34.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6435944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over70c34.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+52%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over49c32.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over50c30.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1463857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under45c28.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.465248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over63c27.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Under42c26.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Over79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over77c24.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9315459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under68c23.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.767055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.