Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45cbc62197e883c8a06ab469c4903015b597ed3720fe680c41144aa928523f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 22,923$12,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,866.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 31c | 7,699$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 5,997$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.73 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 49c | 3,928$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 48c | 2,995$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 79c | 2,600$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.57 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 79c | 2,499$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,994$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.47 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 25c | 1,900$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 48c | 996.98$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 992.39$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.78 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 800$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 714.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 47c | 637.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 48c | 590$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 47c | 470$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 19c | 406.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked Over | 80c | 383.14$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 382.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…1dd3backed Over | 49c | 238.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 66c | 225.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 22c | 215.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 47c | 211.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 48c | 207.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 165$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Over | 31c | 164.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Over | 39c | 162.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Over | 32c | 145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 39c | 133.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 130.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 126.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 78c | 125.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 27c | 119.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 115.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 78c | 108.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 61c | 107.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 48c | 104.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 60c | 102.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 70c | 101.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 63c | 97.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 91.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 84.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 80.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 50c | 76.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 21c | 59.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 22c | 58.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 33c | 58.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 18c | 56.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 22c | 54.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 38c | 52.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 20c | 51.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Under | 29c | 46.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…0639backed Over | 79c | 42.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 48c | 40.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 34.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 70c | 34.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 50c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 45c | 28.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 27.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Under | 42c | 26.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 77c | 24.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 68c | 23.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.