Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe145fb67ed60e58a09bb100ae70d40fb241d9fefbc4b4c46ce53631836ade805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Midtjyllandof Nottingham Forest FC, FC Midtjylland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 16,200$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 10,256$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed FC Midtjylland | 64c | 7,833$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.47 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked FC Midtjylland | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.96 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 2,286$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.02 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 1,944$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 1,877$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 1,723$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.54 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Midtjylland | 75c | 1,563$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 1,406$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 1,248$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FC Midtjylland | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 561.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 560.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked FC Midtjylland | 63c | 522.2$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nottingham Forest FC | 21c | 477.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 471.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 347$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 313.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 32c | 312.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 297.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 268.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 240.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC Midtjylland | 78c | 234.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 223.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked FC Midtjylland | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FC Midtjylland | 77c | 135.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 123.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 108.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 107.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Nottingham Forest FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 99.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 86.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 68.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 59.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC Midtjylland | 75c | 59.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 51.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Nottingham Forest FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FC Midtjylland | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked FC Midtjylland | 62c | 48.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 47.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked FC Midtjylland | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…c130backed Nottingham Forest FC | 37c | 45.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 42.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Midtjylland | 61c | 37.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 39c | 35.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 32.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed FC Midtjylland | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Nottingham Forest FC | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…782bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 38c | 26.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed FC Midtjylland | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked FC Midtjylland | 79c | 20.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked FC Midtjylland | 62c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.