Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63dc9e7356f5ebfe5920e6f32260598929e8c9ae1b21209d00955d32588603ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,733 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,988$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 33c | 1,569$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 67c | 1,112$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 34c | 869.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 33c | 704.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 27c | 610$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 535.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 34c | 361.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 33c | 343.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 33c | 285.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 32c | 249.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 33c | 235.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 33c | 233.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…dc8fbacked Under | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 35c | 199.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 69c | 195.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 151.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 67c | 127.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 65c | 115.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 32c | 94.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Under | 74c | 79.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 68c | 63.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Over | 33c | 60.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Over | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 68c | 58.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 66c | 32.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0412backed Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Under | 68c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 67c | 26.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 70c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 67c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 68c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 67c | 19.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.