Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246f027c207455a552c76021f4baac9b80fd9ccaca46785e29d1c9d38fcbcadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 3,528$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 3,057$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.36 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 2,424$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.09 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 2c | 1,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 2c | 1,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 1,050$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 2c | 965.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 799.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 20c | 672.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 56c | 653.57$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 529.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 9c | 479$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 478.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked No | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 56c | 433.06$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 58c | 413.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 301.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 281.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 57c | 207.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 57c | 174.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 8c | 161.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 161.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 161.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…0955backed No | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 43c | 149.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 42c | 141.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69e…26a1backed No | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…7185backed No | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 109.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 57c | 88.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 47c | 76.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 70.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 58c | 69.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 61c | 65.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…f61dbacked Yes | 59c | 64.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 74c | 61.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…b18bbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…4048backed Yes | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…ae8abacked Yes | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…20d1backed Yes | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…30f8backed Yes | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 59c | 44.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed No | 47c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 52c | 37.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…5685backed Yes | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 58c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked Yes | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 44c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…e369backed Yes | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 29.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 53c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 56c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…1307backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes | 59c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…718dbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…646dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122e…cc5dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 56c | 18.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…d8ebbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will NK Celje vs. AEK end in a draw?No won
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.