TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Linda Noskovaof Linda Noskova, Talia Gibson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,895 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cb…58b4backed Talia Gibson32c22,244$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,050911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Talia Gibson11c22,212$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Talia Gibson26c18,420$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.832,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Talia Gibson20c17,625$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.2680938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Linda Noskova73c8,804$6,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.187146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f49…ab64backed Linda Noskova57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Talia Gibson26c4,549$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19430241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Linda Noskova69c4,101$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Talia Gibson25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Linda Noskova75c3,728$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.116,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Linda Noskova75c3,453$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.1725764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Talia Gibson21c3,316$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Linda Noskova71c3,220$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9136968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Linda Noskova64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.694351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Talia Gibson25c3,114$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.3125544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Talia Gibson23c3,026$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Talia Gibson26c2,711$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.8620336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee6…48c6backed Talia Gibson7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Linda Noskova77c2,455$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5641,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Talia Gibson19c1,955$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Talia Gibson26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008530.6%26 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Linda Noskova71c1,876$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Talia Gibson25c1,873$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.331,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Talia Gibson27c1,868$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Linda Noskova75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Linda Noskova67c1,520$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Linda Noskova77c1,487$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0146473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Linda Noskova73c1,339$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Linda Noskova76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Linda Noskova75c1,312$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9412066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Talia Gibson14c1,162$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.451,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Talia Gibson26c1,161$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7916830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Talia Gibson33c1,131$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1636333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Linda Noskova74c1,090$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3941060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Linda Noskova74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Talia Gibson26c979.08$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Linda Noskova74c945.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Linda Noskova80c895.34$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.344,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Talia Gibson11c852.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.74528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Talia Gibson17c837$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4726535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Linda Noskova74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Talia Gibson25c784.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Linda Noskova67c730.92$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9222949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Talia Gibson26c687$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.621,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Talia Gibson13c645$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8667836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Linda Noskova75c612.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2418156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Linda Noskova66c606.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.626256.5%35 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Talia Gibson9c599.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Linda Noskova78c595.2$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.783,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Linda Noskova65c595.17$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.968350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked Talia Gibson38c560$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Linda Noskova74c506.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Linda Noskova80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Linda Noskova75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Talia Gibson22c493.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.591,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Linda Noskova77c451.66$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.888552.9%45 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5e…3c51backed Linda Noskova75c445.01$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.253464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Talia Gibson26c439$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.141,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Linda Noskova74c407.68$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.981,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Talia Gibson27c404$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Talia Gibson18c391.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Talia Gibson26c384.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9917818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Talia Gibson21c354.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4711347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Talia Gibson25c346.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.641,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Linda Noskova74c338.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.961,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Talia Gibson8c328.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3143058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Linda Noskova64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.524747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Talia Gibson8c308.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.691,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x796c…49dbbacked Talia Gibson40c305$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Talia Gibson25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7546932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Linda Noskova73c289.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Linda Noskova71c287.51$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8415147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Linda Noskova71c286.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1911452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Linda Noskova71c286.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.196844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Linda Noskova71c286.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.192040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Talia Gibson27c279$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.834744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Talia Gibson36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Talia Gibson37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Talia Gibson20c265.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.449,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Linda Noskova80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Linda Noskova76c226.11$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Talia Gibson12c221.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Talia Gibson25c208$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Linda Noskova73c205.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8460661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Linda Noskova75c202.68$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6731749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Talia Gibson27c201$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7361924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Talia Gibson27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Linda Noskova74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5260856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Talia Gibson28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5660943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Talia Gibson25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+89.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Linda Noskova57c188.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0812538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Talia Gibson14c173.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.797,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…a972backed Talia Gibson25c157.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Linda Noskova69c157$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.324,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Linda Noskova73c155.69$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.041,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Talia Gibson25c149.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Linda Noskova71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Talia Gibson10c135.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.552,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Linda Noskova75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3323256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99e…67e3backed Linda Noskova75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.256668.2%45 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.