Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b79ec6f92d946c6e95968f336764113bf8134517cb90165e3c3e567c208043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibsonof Noskova, Gibson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,665 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gibson | 53c | 2,975$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Gibson | 46c | 2,704$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.05 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Noskova | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Noskova | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…4a2dbacked Gibson | 50c | 1,376$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Noskova | 50c | 1,334$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.9 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Noskova | 54c | 1,150$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Noskova | 4c | 1,032$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Noskova | 56c | 531.71$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Noskova | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gibson | 56c | 399.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Noskova | 41c | 386.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Noskova | 53c | 320.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Gibson | 79c | 288.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Noskova | 30c | 203.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Noskova | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Noskova | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Gibson | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Noskova | 50c | 163.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Noskova | 74c | 115.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed Noskova | 24c | 112.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Gibson | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Gibson | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…0003backed Gibson | 50c | 78.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Noskova | 73c | 68.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Noskova | 53c | 60.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e5…8874backed Gibson | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gibson | 40c | 51.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Noskova | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Gibson | 45c | 47.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Noskova | 53c | 44.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Gibson | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Gibson | 57c | 41.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gibson | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Noskova | 53c | 37.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…a4b0backed Gibson | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Noskova | 53c | 26.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…475cbacked Gibson | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia GibsonLinda Noskova won
- Linda Noskova vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs GibsonNoskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.