TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,589 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Under51c35,119$17,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,937.64544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Under55c11,073$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,047.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over49c7,918$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.243268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over49c4,607$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.572450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c3,900$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.033,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over49c3,608$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.163148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7855259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c2,860$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.222055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2753652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c2,126$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.266055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Over48c2,084$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over39c2,041$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.931631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c1,889$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.3923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,771$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.785354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,500$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4546…a2c2backed Over49c1,265$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c1,195$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over54c1,195$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.555952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over49c1,156$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over39c1,092$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Over49c1,015$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over20c981.19$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1913833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c937.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.8719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Over39c789.74$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over47c784.43$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.5321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c658.41$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c650.11$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c648.04$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c600$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30939853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c599.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over49c573.73$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.344656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over45c551.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.712645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9394…4e1cbacked Under52c475.96$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over49c438.76$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.762268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under13c435$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92020%4 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+247.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over40c426$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over45c425$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over48c415$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.11526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over59c403.05$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.058057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under61c379.82$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1128231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c346.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.71,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over46c341.25$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0955155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c330.77$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.732,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over47c305.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.761,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c284.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over48c279.23$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.25339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over35c273.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8520022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.517946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c230.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c227.63$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.032,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c224.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.231,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c215.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2672350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under52c200.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Over32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.55440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under54c186.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.953737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c186.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c186$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb4…7587backed Over49c186$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c176$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.47742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ab…582cbacked Over49c175.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c159.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.460%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over34c152.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.214468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over49c150.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x612d…7adabacked Over49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cf…184fbacked Over49c145$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc0…5736backed Over48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8639127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Over47c124.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…2347backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over49c108.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.453961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5883642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5217960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410069%69 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1549341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over50c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under53c92.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.072240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Over50c90.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.