South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c045101f6786fd042c0799293ca43c4abf709211ca35e6ec75f039ad8421ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 57c | 4,009$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.68 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,483$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 2,146$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,440$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 72c | 1,248$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 36c | 930.42$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 25c | 801.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 75c | 548.55$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 74c | 357.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Over | 74c | 326.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 73c | 196.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 38c | 183.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 76c | 140.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 26c | 132$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 63c | 112.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 17c | 91.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 91.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Under | 58c | 86.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 74c | 64.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 51c | 62.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Over | 60c | 52.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 79c | 49.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Under | 33c | 36.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 35c | 31.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc437…0f42backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 25.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 74c | 22.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Over | 76c | 22.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 74c | 22.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Under | 53c | 21.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Over | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…b968backed Over | 80c | 17.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 70c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.