South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc69c05a838ed27315ddc9c3eee48e9a209afe99b4b6f9ee3974d4a21ed6124a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d7…5ffabacked Yes | 55c | 3,635$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…fc96backed No | 45c | 3,635$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 618.07$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 42c | 319.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 78c | 319.16$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 21c | 315.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 40c | 187.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 47c | 178.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 155.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 136.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 62c | 107.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 42.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked No | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 37.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…ce87backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…910bbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.