South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4594735b647fc306a781fe94bf0a2e043f4afc4f8878641390a437f57a33da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,171$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 24c | 2,044$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,964$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 19c | 1,248$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 480.19$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 22c | 379.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 160.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 25c | 153$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 17c | 119.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 119.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 107.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under | 58c | 84.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 29c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 75c | 61.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 60.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 56.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 45c | 55.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 29c | 51.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked Under | 79c | 43.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 42.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 72c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 31c | 34.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 78c | 32.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 71c | 29.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 78c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Under | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.