Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03564892d028d69299e78a84ef7d39252c562fb033dcd41f8f3db1705166e136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, Auburn Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,391 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Auburn Tigers | 56c | 8,863$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.86 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 4,137$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 3,233$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.56 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 1,016$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Auburn Tigers | 54c | 640.68$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.97 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Auburn Tigers | 56c | 478.83$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 391$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 344.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auburn Tigers | 50c | 287.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 263.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 257.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 233$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…0ddbbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Auburn Tigers | 55c | 198.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auburn Tigers | 45c | 133.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Auburn Tigers | 55c | 108.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…1b92backed Auburn Tigers | 64c | 83.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee Volunteers | 43c | 66.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers | 40c | 61.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Auburn Tigers | 53c | 49.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 45.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 39.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Auburn Tigers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 34.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 31.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Auburn Tigers | 50c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 28.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Auburn Tigers | 55c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)this page
- Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.