Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543b7e558882ef7277977fad0bcc0dbe1e991ef76def89e383579c19eafca51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,424 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 19,238$9,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.35 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 12,187$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 6,197$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.54 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 4,673$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.17 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 3,849$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.47 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 3,496$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 2,989$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.84 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 2,006$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.97 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 1,623$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.34 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 1,001$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.31 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 994.29$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 992.2$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 962.12$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.69 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 669.72$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.01 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 610.27$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 499.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 469.45$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 55c | 383.07$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 360$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 316.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 307$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…10acbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…0203backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 208.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…f1dfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 208.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…fb3bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 128.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 112.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 111.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 97.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 97.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 85.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 81.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 78.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 77.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 69.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 67.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 38c | 65.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 58.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 52.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 47.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…30e4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 36.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 43c | 35.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 35.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 35.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 68c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 29.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 27.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 41c | 26.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMassachusetts Minutemen won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 162.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.