Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b84e741cc8d22fdb84ebd12d0a9262a2d256b021e1c5127ab9fe08aa066b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,427 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 64,025$31,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,810.57 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 62,070$31,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,867.8 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 7,994$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.22 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 6,127$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.58 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,830$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 4,765$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 58c | 4,112$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.17 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Under | 58c | 2,256$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Over | 48c | 2,006$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 51c | 1,418$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.94 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,347$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 49c | 1,038$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.27 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over | 44c | 1,032$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 375.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 286.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 230.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 49c | 224.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 44c | 223.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 131.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 46c | 114.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Under | 55c | 99.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 50c | 96.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 33c | 93.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 53c | 91.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 50c | 83.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…ef96backed Over | 49c | 73.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Over | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 63.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 59.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf9…eff8backed Under | 51c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…0970backed Over | 50c | 43.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9218…2702backed Under | 51c | 42.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 43c | 42.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 41.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under | 55c | 36.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5125backed Under | 51c | 30.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Under | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 24.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMassachusetts Minutemen won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.