Lol · resolved market
LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d376711fac617e2fb4f3697d6906f9bcedc9c743c8492f2fcab91eaa75373f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof DMG Esports, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DMG Esports | 0c | 3,735$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Verdant | 72c | 2,100$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Verdant | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked DMG Esports | 28c | 1,175$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed DMG Esports | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked DMG Esports | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…9aadbacked DMG Esports | 43c | 951$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed DMG Esports | 43c | 755.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Verdant | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed DMG Esports | 39c | 238.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant | 57c | 215$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed DMG Esports | 8c | 187.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed DMG Esports | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Verdant | 61c | 160$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked DMG Esports | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed DMG Esports | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DMG Esports | 26c | 132.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked DMG Esports | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked DMG Esports | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked DMG Esports | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed DMG Esports | 10c | 111.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed DMG Esports | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Verdant | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DMG Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked DMG Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed DMG Esports | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Verdant | 57c | 61.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed DMG Esports | 31c | 36.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked DMG Esports | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed DMG Esports | 36c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Verdant | 68c | 30.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked DMG Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…0128backed DMG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Verdant | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsthis page
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.