La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf216aa160bdc60351d71dd2e9ba38fafb01dae7721ecde7be2a059d93300f2c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 19c | 39,051$7,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,419.31 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 79c | 22,102$17,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.37 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 21c | 11,326$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 3,491$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.76 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,048$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes | 21c | 3,005$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Yes | 19c | 2,600$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 2,280$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…15cebacked Yes | 8c | 2,249$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,736$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 1,255$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,042$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 20c | 999$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 11c | 700$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 21c | 595.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 12c | 351.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 18c | 348.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 19c | 315.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 19c | 305.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 19c | 296.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…8c19backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…85c0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…0852backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 173.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Yes | 18c | 162.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…5109backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 18c | 141.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 21c | 96.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 20c | 93.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 20c | 51.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 80c | 49.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 27.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.