CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d83c9a609cbba2b7187626e34b23651f73aaf8cb25c444da5216270202a55b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Sangal, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 41c | 897.86$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sangal | 29c | 890.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Omega | 57c | 537.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sangal | 31c | 477.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…9167backed Omega | 75c | 367.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Sangal | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Sangal | 61c | 245.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed Sangal | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 61c | 189.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 71c | 185.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Sangal | 71c | 152.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Omega | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Omega | 30c | 108.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed Sangal | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Omega | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked Sangal | 59c | 84.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 55c | 83.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Sangal | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Sangal | 70c | 61.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omega | 29c | 61.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sangal | 53c | 56.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…567abacked Omega | 77c | 54.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefd…cbc2backed Omega | 59c | 50.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Omega | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sangal | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Omega | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed Sangal | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…46b0backed Omega | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sangal | 69c | 32.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Omega | 80c | 30.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Sangal | 64c | 29.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…f98abacked Omega | 64c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Omega | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Omega | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.