Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anastasia Gasanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8139641f6341c3f76307f02f92b6ba39d11b6dd6e9c31973c5a8125851cdd844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uchijimaof Uchijima, Gasanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gasanova | 0c | 4,586$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gasanova | 9c | 3,717$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Gasanova | 33c | 1,573$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.31 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gasanova | 13c | 1,565$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Uchijima | 76c | 768.77$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Gasanova | 34c | 518.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Uchijima | 71c | 501.37$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Gasanova | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gasanova | 26c | 376.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Uchijima | 69c | 370.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Uchijima | 67c | 303.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Uchijima | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Gasanova | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gasanova | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gasanova | 41c | 244.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Uchijima | 68c | 224.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Uchijima | 71c | 185.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Uchijima | 74c | 165.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed Uchijima | 61c | 148.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Uchijima | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Gasanova | 10c | 124.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Uchijima | 75c | 120.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Gasanova | 24c | 119.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Uchijima | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Uchijima | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gasanova | 29c | 93.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Gasanova | 32c | 77.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Uchijima | 64c | 75.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Gasanova | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Uchijima | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gasanova | 25c | 67.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Uchijima | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dc…bc7ebacked Gasanova | 23c | 63.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Uchijima | 67c | 61.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,981 | 46.2%916 W · 1,065 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gasanova | 31c | 57.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Uchijima | 72c | 55.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Uchijima | 69c | 50.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Uchijima | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Gasanova | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Uchijima | 66c | 32.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Uchijima | 78c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Uchijima | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Uchijima | 70c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Uchijima | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Uchijima | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Uchijima | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Uchijima | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uchijima | 72c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Uchijima | 73c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.