Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156444a03a042723bb4dcb47eafba5ea9d06b812331aa96410440f83b46a73b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,584$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.31 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 1,478$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 693.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 437.22$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed No | 53c | 376.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +202.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed No | 39c | 364.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked No | 39c | 346.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 341.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Yes | 61c | 265.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 63c | 244.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 241.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Yes | 61c | 212.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Yes | 61c | 175.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Yes | 61c | 172.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Yes | 61c | 123.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Yes | 61c | 121.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Yes | 61c | 119.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 118.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 46c | 117.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 115.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 31c | 99.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 44c | 91.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 37c | 89.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 62c | 78.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Yes | 37c | 72.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed No | 39c | 69.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked No | 39c | 65.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed No | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked No | 39c | 63.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 62c | 61.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 80c | 55.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked No | 39c | 54.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked No | 39c | 52.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked No | 39c | 52.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked No | 39c | 51.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 23c | 50.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 45.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…0c88backed Yes | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 46c | 43.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 61c | 37.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 34.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 39c | 32.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 31.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 31.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.